{
  "name": "chart-battleground-pace",
  "title": "Chart data: Early voting in ten Senate battlegrounds: 50% to 98% of 2024’s pace",
  "description": "The data behind the chart “Early voting in ten Senate battlegrounds: 50% to 98% of 2024’s pace” (post 15), as of 2026-10-23. State early-vote data via UF Election Lab and NBC News, Oct 23, 2026, against NBC at the same point in 2024. Party mix: state registration files (reg.), party of last primary from state records (primary; Ohio as of Oct 22, Texas through Oct 21), or vendor estimate, TargetSmart via NBC (model). 2024 was a presidential year, so every state is below its 2024 count. Party mix is not vote choice.",
  "updated": "2026-10-23",
  "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licenceUrl": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research",
  "attribution_required": true,
  "citation": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research. “Chart data: Early voting in ten Senate battlegrounds: 50% to 98% of 2024’s pace” (CSV). Last updated 2026-10-23. https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-battleground-pace.csv. Licensed CC BY 4.0.",
  "csv": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-battleground-pace.csv",
  "page": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/#chart-battleground-pace",
  "columns": [
    {
      "name": "state",
      "description": "State"
    },
    {
      "name": "pace",
      "description": "Early ballots, % of 2024 at the same point"
    },
    {
      "name": "dr",
      "description": "D−R of early voters (points)"
    },
    {
      "name": "drSource",
      "description": "Party source"
    }
  ],
  "caveats": [
    "2024 was a presidential year, so every state is below its 2024 count. Party mix is not vote choice."
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "state": "Alaska",
      "abbr": "AK",
      "pace": 98,
      "dr": -8,
      "drSource": "reg."
    },
    {
      "state": "Kansas",
      "abbr": "KS",
      "pace": 88,
      "dr": 8.6,
      "drSource": "reg."
    },
    {
      "state": "Texas",
      "abbr": "TX",
      "pace": 78,
      "dr": 3.4,
      "drSource": "primary"
    },
    {
      "state": "Michigan",
      "abbr": "MI",
      "pace": 69,
      "dr": 17,
      "drSource": "model"
    },
    {
      "state": "South Carolina",
      "abbr": "SC",
      "pace": 68,
      "dr": 2,
      "drSource": "model"
    },
    {
      "state": "Ohio",
      "abbr": "OH",
      "pace": 66,
      "dr": 5.9,
      "drSource": "primary"
    },
    {
      "state": "Iowa",
      "abbr": "IA",
      "pace": 65,
      "dr": 18.9,
      "drSource": "reg."
    },
    {
      "state": "Maine",
      "abbr": "ME",
      "pace": 63,
      "dr": 32,
      "drSource": "reg."
    },
    {
      "state": "New Hampshire",
      "abbr": "NH",
      "pace": 51,
      "dr": 12,
      "drSource": "reg."
    },
    {
      "state": "Minnesota",
      "abbr": "MN",
      "pace": 50,
      "dr": 27,
      "drSource": "model"
    }
  ]
}