{
  "name": "chart-county-bias",
  "title": "Chart data: How far the county method understated the Democratic early-vote margin",
  "description": "The data behind the chart “How far the county method understated the Democratic early-vote margin” (post 8), as of 2026-10-23. Early votes with known party in 8 states; 2024 county results. Tested only in the 8 states where party is known from records.",
  "updated": "2026-10-23",
  "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licenceUrl": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research",
  "attribution_required": true,
  "citation": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research. “Chart data: How far the county method understated the Democratic early-vote margin” (CSV). Last updated 2026-10-23. https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-county-bias.csv. Licensed CC BY 4.0.",
  "csv": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-county-bias.csv",
  "page": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/#chart-county-bias",
  "columns": [
    {
      "name": "state",
      "description": "State"
    },
    {
      "name": "bias",
      "description": "Bias of county method (points)"
    }
  ],
  "caveats": [
    "Tested only in the 8 states where party is known from records."
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "state": "AZ",
      "bias": -7.3
    },
    {
      "state": "NV",
      "bias": -7.5
    },
    {
      "state": "FL",
      "bias": -14.1
    },
    {
      "state": "KS",
      "bias": -15.6
    },
    {
      "state": "ME",
      "bias": -17.4
    },
    {
      "state": "NC",
      "bias": -19.9
    },
    {
      "state": "IA",
      "bias": -31
    },
    {
      "state": "PA",
      "bias": -41
    }
  ]
}