{
  "name": "chart-habit-overall-margins",
  "title": "Chart data: Early voters lean further toward Democrats than at the same point in 2022 and 2024.",
  "description": "The data behind the chart “Early voters lean further toward Democrats than at the same point in 2022 and 2024.” (post 19), as of 2026-10-27. ColdSpark state trackers, county totals by registered party, mail and early in-person ballots. Matched counties across all three years. Calculations by Carmena’s Overton. Margins are (Democratic minus Republican ballots) / all early ballots, including other parties. Coverage: North Carolina 100 counties, Florida 67, Kansas 103 matched counties. The statewide-total and voting-history extracts are separate source slices and do not exactly reconcile; no decomposition of the statewide margin is inferred here. 2024 is a presidential-election comparison; 2022 is the preceding midterm.",
  "updated": "2026-10-27",
  "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licenceUrl": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research",
  "attribution_required": true,
  "citation": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research. “Chart data: Early voters lean further toward Democrats than at the same point in 2022 and 2024.” (CSV). Last updated 2026-10-27. https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-habit-overall-margins.csv. Licensed CC BY 4.0.",
  "csv": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-habit-overall-margins.csv",
  "page": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/#chart-habit-overall-margins",
  "columns": [
    {
      "name": "label",
      "description": "State"
    },
    {
      "name": "year",
      "description": "Year"
    },
    {
      "name": "margin",
      "description": "Party margin"
    },
    {
      "name": "days",
      "description": "Days before Election Day"
    },
    {
      "name": "counties",
      "description": "Matched counties"
    },
    {
      "name": "democrats",
      "description": "democrats"
    },
    {
      "name": "republicans",
      "description": "republicans"
    },
    {
      "name": "other",
      "description": "other"
    }
  ],
  "caveats": [
    "Margins are (Democratic minus Republican ballots) / all early ballots, including other parties. Coverage: North Carolina 100 counties, Florida 67, Kansas 103 matched counties. The statewide-total and voting-history extracts are separate source slices and do not exactly reconcile; no decomposition of the statewide margin is inferred here. 2024 is a presidential-election comparison; 2022 is the preceding midterm."
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "label": "North Carolina",
      "year": "2022",
      "days": 8,
      "counties": 100,
      "democrats": 490365,
      "republicans": 397931,
      "other": 374943,
      "margin": 7.3172218400476865
    },
    {
      "label": "North Carolina",
      "year": "2024",
      "days": 8,
      "counties": 100,
      "democrats": 1034083,
      "republicans": 1067085,
      "other": 1028131,
      "margin": -1.0546131897271562
    },
    {
      "label": "North Carolina",
      "year": "2026",
      "days": 8,
      "counties": 100,
      "democrats": 708130,
      "republicans": 425956,
      "other": 613362,
      "margin": 16.147776643425154
    },
    {
      "label": "Kansas",
      "year": "2022",
      "days": 7,
      "counties": 103,
      "democrats": 68112,
      "republicans": 75386,
      "other": 20211,
      "margin": -4.443249912955305
    },
    {
      "label": "Kansas",
      "year": "2024",
      "days": 7,
      "counties": 103,
      "democrats": 116618,
      "republicans": 165583,
      "other": 56717,
      "margin": -14.447447465168565
    },
    {
      "label": "Kansas",
      "year": "2026",
      "days": 7,
      "counties": 103,
      "democrats": 99664,
      "republicans": 96052,
      "other": 40681,
      "margin": 1.5279381718042107
    },
    {
      "label": "Florida",
      "year": "2022",
      "days": 8,
      "counties": 67,
      "democrats": 1152344,
      "republicans": 1293013,
      "other": 587774,
      "margin": -4.637748913581379
    },
    {
      "label": "Florida",
      "year": "2024",
      "days": 8,
      "counties": 67,
      "democrats": 1716876,
      "republicans": 2305396,
      "other": 1088361,
      "margin": -11.515598948310316
    },
    {
      "label": "Florida",
      "year": "2026",
      "days": 8,
      "counties": 67,
      "democrats": 1236614,
      "republicans": 1252610,
      "other": 649839,
      "margin": -0.509578813805266
    }
  ]
}