{
  "name": "chart-habit-party-rates",
  "title": "Chart data: Democrats have used more of their reliable-voter pool, and the gap has widened since 2022.",
  "description": "The data behind the chart “Democrats have used more of their reliable-voter pool, and the gap has widened since 2022.” (post 19), as of 2026-10-27. ColdSpark state trackers: early mail and in-person ballots and registered voters, by party and prior general-election participation, county sums. Calculations by Carmena’s Overton. Days before Election Day: North Carolina 8, Kansas 7, Florida 8. Four-time voters voted in 2014–2020 for the 2022 comparison and 2018–2024 for 2026. These are changing cohorts, not a panel of the same people.",
  "updated": "2026-10-27",
  "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licenceUrl": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research",
  "attribution_required": true,
  "citation": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research. “Chart data: Democrats have used more of their reliable-voter pool, and the gap has widened since 2022.” (CSV). Last updated 2026-10-27. https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-habit-party-rates.csv. Licensed CC BY 4.0.",
  "csv": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-habit-party-rates.csv",
  "page": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/#chart-habit-party-rates",
  "columns": [
    {
      "name": "group",
      "description": "State"
    },
    {
      "name": "label",
      "description": "Party"
    },
    {
      "name": "v2022",
      "description": "2022 (%)"
    },
    {
      "name": "v2026",
      "description": "2026 (%)"
    },
    {
      "name": "early2026",
      "description": "2026 early ballots"
    },
    {
      "name": "registered2026",
      "description": "2026 registered"
    }
  ],
  "caveats": [
    "Days before Election Day: North Carolina 8, Kansas 7, Florida 8. Four-time voters voted in 2014–2020 for the 2022 comparison and 2018–2024 for 2026. These are changing cohorts, not a panel of the same people."
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "label": "Democrats",
      "group": "North Carolina",
      "v2022": 40.065589322099164,
      "v2026": 54.56531180838235,
      "registered2026": 865724,
      "early2026": 472385
    },
    {
      "label": "Republicans",
      "group": "North Carolina",
      "v2022": 33.52138363376763,
      "v2026": 34.26532659936434,
      "registered2026": 891995,
      "early2026": 305645
    },
    {
      "label": "Democrats",
      "group": "Kansas",
      "v2022": 25.552922590837284,
      "v2026": 36.476721210394295,
      "registered2026": 214079,
      "early2026": 78089
    },
    {
      "label": "Republicans",
      "group": "Kansas",
      "v2022": 15.07713500134458,
      "v2026": 19.569403867732838,
      "registered2026": 395684,
      "early2026": 77433
    },
    {
      "label": "Democrats",
      "group": "Florida",
      "v2022": 42.759973771708225,
      "v2026": 47.654844113782985,
      "registered2026": 1770458,
      "early2026": 843709
    },
    {
      "label": "Republicans",
      "group": "Florida",
      "v2022": 38.94647698079643,
      "v2026": 34.968971265934314,
      "registered2026": 2524112,
      "early2026": 882656
    }
  ]
}