{
  "name": "chart-ks-urban-rural",
  "title": "Chart data: Rural early voters remain heavily Republican. Urban and suburban voters are arriving faster.",
  "description": "The data behind the chart “Rural early voters remain heavily Republican. Urban and suburban voters are arriving faster.” (post 16), as of 2026-10-26. ColdSpark Kansas tracker, pinned source snapshot; cumulative county mail-return and in-person early-ballot counts. Calculations by Carmena’s Overton. Registration denominators and county classifications: L2 voter file (2022 and current files). Both years use the same 102 covered counties. L2 rural share defines urban/suburban counties as below 50%, mostly rural as 50% to below 100%, and fully rural as 100%. Turnout = early ballots ÷ registered voters × 100. Some small counties had barely reported at the 2022 comparison point. Underlying voter files are not reproduced; aggregate denominators are in the table.",
  "updated": "2026-10-26",
  "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licenceUrl": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research",
  "attribution_required": true,
  "citation": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research. “Chart data: Rural early voters remain heavily Republican. Urban and suburban voters are arriving faster.” (CSV). Last updated 2026-10-26. https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-ks-urban-rural.csv. Licensed CC BY 4.0.",
  "csv": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-ks-urban-rural.csv",
  "page": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/#chart-ks-urban-rural",
  "columns": [
    {
      "name": "type",
      "description": "County type"
    },
    {
      "name": "turnout2026",
      "description": "2026 turnout so far"
    },
    {
      "name": "turnout2022",
      "description": "2022 turnout at this point"
    },
    {
      "name": "margin2026",
      "description": "2026 margin"
    },
    {
      "name": "margin2022",
      "description": "2022 margin"
    },
    {
      "name": "counties",
      "description": "Counties"
    },
    {
      "name": "votes2026",
      "description": "2026 early votes"
    },
    {
      "name": "votes2022",
      "description": "2022 early votes"
    },
    {
      "name": "registered2022",
      "description": "2022 registered voters"
    },
    {
      "name": "registered2026",
      "description": "2026 registered voters"
    }
  ],
  "caveats": [
    "Both years use the same 102 covered counties. L2 rural share defines urban/suburban counties as below 50%, mostly rural as 50% to below 100%, and fully rural as 100%. Turnout = early ballots ÷ registered voters × 100. Some small counties had barely reported at the 2022 comparison point. Underlying voter files are not reproduced; aggregate denominators are in the table."
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "type": "Urban and suburban",
      "counties": 11,
      "turnout2026": 13.3,
      "turnout2022": 8.9,
      "margin2026": 12.1,
      "margin2022": 3.8,
      "votes2026": 166873,
      "votes2022": 106538,
      "registered2022": 1191728,
      "registered2026": 1257709
    },
    {
      "type": "Mostly rural",
      "counties": 23,
      "turnout2026": 6.2,
      "turnout2022": 5,
      "margin2026": -19.4,
      "margin2022": -26.9,
      "votes2026": 14987,
      "votes2022": 11637,
      "registered2022": 232733,
      "registered2026": 242803
    },
    {
      "type": "Fully rural",
      "counties": 68,
      "turnout2026": 5.8,
      "turnout2022": 4.6,
      "margin2026": -30.6,
      "margin2022": -31.7,
      "votes2026": 21958,
      "votes2022": 17187,
      "registered2022": 372146,
      "registered2026": 380096
    }
  ]
}
