{
  "name": "chart-senate-consistent",
  "title": "Chart data: Unaffiliated early ballots rose 95% among consistent voters",
  "description": "The data behind the chart “Unaffiliated early ballots rose 95% among consistent voters” (post 21), as of 2026-11-03. ColdSpark county early-vote trackers; calculations by Carmena’s Overton. Frozen November 3 graphic; Iowa through November 1. These are party groups, not candidate votes. Consistent voters voted in two to four preceding generals; occasional voters in zero or one. County comparisons use November 1, 2026 versus November 6, 2022, except Kansas: November 2 versus November 7. Party is registration in NC, KS and IA, modelled in TX and MI, and last-primary participation in OH.",
  "updated": "2026-11-03",
  "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licenceUrl": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research",
  "attribution_required": true,
  "citation": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research. “Chart data: Unaffiliated early ballots rose 95% among consistent voters” (CSV). Last updated 2026-11-03. https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-senate-consistent.csv. Licensed CC BY 4.0.",
  "csv": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/chart-senate-consistent.csv",
  "page": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/#chart-senate-consistent",
  "columns": [
    {
      "name": "group",
      "description": "Party group"
    },
    {
      "name": "ballots2022",
      "description": "2022 early ballots"
    },
    {
      "name": "ballots2026",
      "description": "2026 early ballots"
    },
    {
      "name": "growth",
      "description": "Growth (%)"
    }
  ],
  "caveats": [
    "Frozen November 3 graphic; Iowa through November 1. These are party groups, not candidate votes. Consistent voters voted in two to four preceding generals; occasional voters in zero or one. County comparisons use November 1, 2026 versus November 6, 2022, except Kansas: November 2 versus November 7. Party is registration in NC, KS and IA, modelled in TX and MI, and last-primary participation in OH."
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "party": "O",
      "group": "Unaffiliated / other",
      "growth": 95.22384977578781,
      "ballots2022": 1462454,
      "ballots2026": 2855059
    },
    {
      "party": "D",
      "group": "Democratic",
      "growth": 35.373813034409366,
      "ballots2022": 3774962,
      "ballots2026": 5110310
    },
    {
      "party": "R",
      "group": "Republican",
      "growth": 27.20239830365323,
      "ballots2022": 4078883,
      "ballots2026": 5188437
    }
  ]
}