{
  "name": "generic-ballot",
  "title": "Generic ballot 11 days out and the final House vote",
  "description": "The generic ballot polling average 11 days before Election Day and on Election Day, with the national House popular vote, for 2018, 2022 and 2026. Values are D−R points; negative values are Republican leads.",
  "updated": "2026-10-23",
  "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licenceUrl": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research",
  "attribution_required": true,
  "citation": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research. “Generic ballot 11 days out and the final House vote” (CSV). Last updated Oct 23, 2026. Licensed CC BY 4.0.",
  "csv": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/generic-ballot.csv",
  "page": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/#generic-ballot",
  "columns": [
    {
      "name": "cycle",
      "description": "Election year"
    },
    {
      "name": "average_11_days_out",
      "description": "Average 11 days before Election Day, D−R points"
    },
    {
      "name": "average_election_day",
      "description": "Average on Election Day, D−R points"
    },
    {
      "name": "house_popular_vote",
      "description": "National House popular vote, D−R points"
    }
  ],
  "caveats": [
    "2026 uses the Silver Bulletin average; 2018 and 2022 use 538’s average. The methods differ.",
    "2022 polls understated Republicans by about 2 points from this point."
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "cycle": 2018,
      "average_11_days_out": 8.2,
      "average_election_day": 8.6,
      "house_popular_vote": 8.6
    },
    {
      "cycle": 2022,
      "average_11_days_out": -0.6,
      "average_election_day": -1.2,
      "house_popular_vote": -2.7
    },
    {
      "cycle": 2026,
      "average_11_days_out": 9,
      "average_election_day": null,
      "house_popular_vote": null
    }
  ]
}