{ "name": "senate-early-vote-counties", "title": "County dots in the six-state Senate early-vote graphic", "description": "Every plotted county, with exact changes in occasional-voter share, party margin and unaffiliated share from the frozen graphic.", "updated": "2026-11-03", "licence": "CC BY 4.0", "licenceUrl": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "attribution": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research", "attribution_required": true, "citation": "Carmena’s Overton & Electoral Research. “County dots in the six-state Senate early-vote graphic” (CSV). Last updated 2026-11-03. https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/senate-early-vote-counties.csv. Licensed CC BY 4.0.", "csv": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/public/senate-early-vote-counties.csv", "page": "https://carmenaresearch.com/data/#senate-early-vote-counties", "columns": [ { "name": "state", "description": "state" }, { "name": "county", "description": "county" }, { "name": "date_2022", "description": "date 2022" }, { "name": "date_2026", "description": "date 2026" }, { "name": "ballots_2022", "description": "ballots 2022" }, { "name": "ballots_2026", "description": "ballots 2026" }, { "name": "occasional_share_2022", "description": "occasional share 2022" }, { "name": "occasional_share_2026", "description": "occasional share 2026" }, { "name": "occasional_share_change_points", "description": "occasional share change points" }, { "name": "dem_minus_rep_2022", "description": "dem minus rep 2022" }, { "name": "dem_minus_rep_2026", "description": "dem minus rep 2026" }, { "name": "margin_change_points", "description": "margin change points" }, { "name": "unaffiliated_share_change_points", "description": "unaffiliated share change points" } ], "caveats": [ "County dots require at least 50 ballots in each comparison year. Statewide sums elsewhere include all available records.", "The original graphic clamps extreme dot positions at the plot edges. Downloads retain the unclamped values.", "Party is modelled in Texas and Michigan and based on last-primary participation in Ohio; elsewhere it is registration." ], "rows": [ { "state": "Texas", "county": "Harris County", "date_2022": "2022-11-06", "date_2026": "2026-11-01", "ballots_2022": 743158, "ballots_2026": 1063463, "occasional_share_2022": 16.271506, "occasional_share_2026": 17.697842, "occasional_share_change_points": 1.426336, "dem_minus_rep_2022": 6.464709, "dem_minus_rep_2026": 15.086185, "margin_change_points": 8.621477, "unaffiliated_share_change_points": 7.651345 }, { "state": "Texas", "county": "Dallas County", "date_2022": "2022-11-06", "date_2026": "2026-11-01", "ballots_2022": 407485, "ballots_2026": 616163, "occasional_share_2022": 15.081537, "occasional_share_2026": 17.849822, "occasional_share_change_points": 2.768285, "dem_minus_rep_2022": 22.317386, "dem_minus_rep_2026": 28.831332, "margin_change_points": 6.513946, "unaffiliated_share_change_points": 6.795574 }, 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