Carmena’s OvertonSubscribe

Mail’s share of the early vote fell in every state.

Open this figure in “Early in-person voting moved toward Democrats in four states”

Real data · Oct 26, 2026

Mail’s share of the early vote fell in every state.

Florida: 2026 50.5% · 2022 68.9%

Florida69%51%Kansas37%22%Iowa58%35%North Carolina6.4%3.1%
  • 2022, same point
  • 2026

Source: Carmena’s Overton; early votes via ColdSpark. Caveat: Early ballots are returned mail ballots plus early in-person votes.

Data table
Mail’s share of the early vote fell in every state.
State2022 (%)2026 (%)
Florida68.950.5
Kansas36.821.5
Iowa57.635.1
North Carolina6.43.1

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