Carmena’s OvertonSubscribe

Arizona · 2nd District · 2026

Crane leads Nez by 1 points

Eli Crane has 49.7% with 98.9% of the expected vote counted, a R+1.2 margin against Arizona’s 2nd District’s R+9.0 vote for House in 2024. AP has not called the race.

Live · Updated · 98.9% reported

49.7
Eli Crane
162,741 votes
48.5
Jonathan Nez
158,856 votes
Vote share · per NPR98.9% reported
49.7%48.5%

Also: Other 1.8%

Margin vs 2024D+7.8 swing
2026 R+1.2
2024 House R+9.0
Chance of winningExternal ↗
Eli Crane 74%

prices, not our forecast ·

Circle size: votes counted. Colour: the leader, darker for a wider margin; grey until half the vote is in. District tint: the districtwide leader. Point at a circle for its count.

Each place shows the latest report from any source we collect: AP, the networks, DDHQ and state and county election offices, credited row by row. Race calls are AP’s. Counts are unofficial until certified. How we collect and check results.

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