Carmena’s OvertonSubscribe

North Carolina’s most consistent Democrats have accelerated the most since 2022.

Open this figure in “Democrats are front-loading their reliable voters”

Real data · Oct 26, 2026

North Carolina’s most consistent Democrats have accelerated the most since 2022.

All four: 54.6% have voted early in 2026, against 40.1% at the same point in 2022

0%20%40%60%55%All four28%Three16%Two12%One10%NoneGeneral elections voted in, of the last four
  • 2022, same point
  • 2026

Source: Carmena’s Overton; early votes via ColdSpark. Caveat: Early ballots divided by registered Democrats in each voting-history group, same day in both years.

Data table
North Carolina’s most consistent Democrats have accelerated the most since 2022.
Voted in previous four generals2022 (%)2026 (%)
All four40.154.6
Three of four19.228.3
Two of four11.016.0
One of four8.411.6
None of the last four6.910.2

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