Carmena’s OvertonSubscribe

Registered Democrats lead by 5.2 points. Republicans led in 2022 and 2024.

Open this figure in “Kansas early voters went from R+3 in 2022 to D+5 this year”

Real data · Oct 26, 2026

Registered Democrats lead by 5.2 points. Republicans led in 2022 and 2024.

Party-registration margin, eight days before Election Day

2026: D+5.2 · registered-party margin among early voters

R leadD lead2022R+3.42024R+14.72026D+5.2R+20R+100D+10D+20Percentage points of all early ballots

Source: Carmena’s Overton; early votes via ColdSpark. Caveat: Registered party, not vote choice. Eight days out in each year.

Data table
Registered Democrats lead by 5.2 points. Republicans led in 2022 and 2024.
ElectionEarly votes, eight days outDemocratsRepublicansUnaffiliated and otherMarginDate
2022135670572816193716452R+3.4Oct 31, 2022
202430186410385214831649696R+14.7Oct 28, 2024
2026203818899237933134564D+5.2Oct 26, 2026

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