Carmena’s OvertonSubscribe

Michigan county early voting

Open this figure in “Unaffiliated early voting is up 70%. Here is the state-by-state picture.”

Real data · Nov 3, 2026

Michigan county early voting

Wayne County: 362,474 early ballots; occasional share -4.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -3.0 points; unaffiliated share +4.9 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.

Party-gap change (points)R+30R+20R+100D+10D+20D+30-15-10-50+5+10+15Wayne County: 362,474 early ballots; occasional share -4.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -3.0 points; unaffiliated share +4.9 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Oakland County: 350,463 early ballots; occasional share -6.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.0 points; unaffiliated share +1.2 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Macomb County: 205,287 early ballots; occasional share -4.6 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.3 points; unaffiliated share +4.8 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Kent County: 158,019 early ballots; occasional share -7.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.0 points; unaffiliated share +1.8 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Washtenaw County: 108,760 early ballots; occasional share -4.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap +0.7 points; unaffiliated share +3.4 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Genesee County: 87,797 early ballots; occasional share -6.9 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -3.6 points; unaffiliated share +1.0 points. Republican relative gain.Ottawa County: 75,682 early ballots; occasional share -6.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.3 points; unaffiliated share +1.8 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Ingham County: 71,464 early ballots; occasional share -6.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.1 points; unaffiliated share +1.9 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Livingston County: 62,772 early ballots; occasional share -7.6 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -4.3 points; unaffiliated share -0.0 points. Republican relative gain.Kalamazoo County: 60,404 early ballots; occasional share -6.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap +2.6 points; unaffiliated share -0.1 points. Democratic relative gain.St. Clair County: 39,902 early ballots; occasional share -6.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.4 points; unaffiliated share +2.4 points. Republican relative gain.Monroe County: 34,868 early ballots; occasional share -6.6 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.6 points; unaffiliated share +3.4 points. Republican relative gain.Muskegon County: 33,653 early ballots; occasional share -7.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.3 points; unaffiliated share +1.1 points. Republican relative gain.Saginaw County: 33,408 early ballots; occasional share -5.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap +1.8 points; unaffiliated share +2.0 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Allegan County: 31,218 early ballots; occasional share -7.3 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.0 points; unaffiliated share +2.3 points. Republican relative gain.Jackson County: 30,556 early ballots; occasional share -7.6 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.8 points; unaffiliated share +1.2 points. Republican relative gain.Grand Traverse County: 30,494 early ballots; occasional share -8.1 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -0.2 points; unaffiliated share -2.0 points. Republican relative gain.Berrien County: 30,119 early ballots; occasional share -6.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap +1.9 points; unaffiliated share +4.7 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Eaton County: 26,132 early ballots; occasional share -7.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap +1.4 points; unaffiliated share +0.4 points. Democratic relative gain.Calhoun County: 22,139 early ballots; occasional share -5.1 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.0 points; unaffiliated share +4.9 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Lapeer County: 22,011 early ballots; occasional share -6.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.3 points; unaffiliated share +3.4 points. Republican relative gain.Bay County: 21,884 early ballots; occasional share -6.3 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.6 points; unaffiliated share +2.0 points. Republican relative gain.Clinton County: 21,201 early ballots; occasional share -6.9 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.0 points; unaffiliated share +1.9 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Midland County: 18,890 early ballots; occasional share -8.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.3 points; unaffiliated share +0.5 points. Republican relative gain.Lenawee County: 18,723 early ballots; occasional share -6.0 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -0.6 points; unaffiliated share +3.4 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Marquette County: 16,747 early ballots; occasional share -6.9 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.0 points; unaffiliated share +2.0 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Barry County: 14,841 early ballots; occasional share -7.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.0 points; unaffiliated share +3.8 points. Republican relative gain.Van Buren County: 13,477 early ballots; occasional share -7.1 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap +1.1 points; unaffiliated share +4.2 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Shiawassee County: 13,387 early ballots; occasional share -6.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.0 points; unaffiliated share +2.4 points. Republican relative gain.Isabella County: 10,718 early ballots; occasional share -6.1 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap +1.1 points; unaffiliated share +3.9 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Tuscola County: 10,128 early ballots; occasional share -6.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -7.3 points; unaffiliated share +4.9 points. Republican relative gain.Montcalm County: 9,777 early ballots; occasional share -8.0 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -0.4 points; unaffiliated share +3.6 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Ionia County: 9,733 early ballots; occasional share -9.3 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.5 points; unaffiliated share +2.3 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Emmet County: 9,529 early ballots; occasional share -9.6 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -1.3 points; unaffiliated share -0.1 points. Republican relative gain.St. Joseph County: 9,185 early ballots; occasional share -6.0 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.0 points; unaffiliated share +6.0 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Leelanau County: 9,015 early ballots; occasional share -7.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap +0.5 points; unaffiliated share +0.2 points. Democratic relative gain.Cass County: 8,861 early ballots; occasional share -5.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -4.4 points; unaffiliated share +9.0 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Antrim County: 8,277 early ballots; occasional share -7.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -7.3 points; unaffiliated share -1.0 points. Republican relative gain.Mecosta County: 7,862 early ballots; occasional share -6.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -0.0 points; unaffiliated share +2.4 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Delta County: 7,600 early ballots; occasional share -7.1 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -9.1 points; unaffiliated share +1.7 points. Republican relative gain.Roscommon County: 7,534 early ballots; occasional share -7.7 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -4.7 points; unaffiliated share +1.4 points. Republican relative gain.Newaygo County: 7,345 early ballots; occasional share -9.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.5 points; unaffiliated share +2.6 points. Republican relative gain.Branch County: 7,068 early ballots; occasional share -4.9 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -0.5 points; unaffiliated share +6.1 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Charlevoix County: 6,717 early ballots; occasional share -8.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.7 points; unaffiliated share +0.6 points. Republican relative gain.Hillsdale County: 6,536 early ballots; occasional share -8.0 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -3.9 points; unaffiliated share +6.0 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Sanilac County: 6,515 early ballots; occasional share -8.7 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.5 points; unaffiliated share +3.4 points. Republican relative gain.Huron County: 6,510 early ballots; occasional share -8.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -8.4 points; unaffiliated share +3.0 points. Republican relative gain.Benzie County: 6,236 early ballots; occasional share -6.7 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -3.6 points; unaffiliated share -0.6 points. Republican relative gain.Mason County: 6,063 early ballots; occasional share -9.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.1 points; unaffiliated share -1.7 points. Republican relative gain.Clare County: 6,009 early ballots; occasional share -8.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.6 points; unaffiliated share +2.6 points. Republican relative gain.Houghton County: 5,995 early ballots; occasional share -7.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -7.0 points; unaffiliated share +2.7 points. Republican relative gain.Manistee County: 5,888 early ballots; occasional share -7.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -0.2 points; unaffiliated share -0.2 points. Republican relative gain.Chippewa County: 5,866 early ballots; occasional share -7.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -4.8 points; unaffiliated share +2.3 points. Republican relative gain.Otsego County: 5,808 early ballots; occasional share -8.0 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.2 points; unaffiliated share +1.7 points. Republican relative gain.Iosco County: 5,807 early ballots; occasional share -7.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.8 points; unaffiliated share +2.6 points. Republican relative gain.Alpena County: 5,618 early ballots; occasional share -8.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -4.4 points; unaffiliated share +3.2 points. Republican relative gain.Cheboygan County: 5,610 early ballots; occasional share -8.0 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -4.2 points; unaffiliated share +1.2 points. Republican relative gain.Dickinson County: 5,316 early ballots; occasional share -5.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.9 points; unaffiliated share +5.5 points. Republican relative gain.Gratiot County: 5,118 early ballots; occasional share -7.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.1 points; unaffiliated share +2.0 points. Republican relative gain.Wexford County: 5,060 early ballots; occasional share -8.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -0.7 points; unaffiliated share +1.7 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Oceana County: 4,973 early ballots; occasional share -5.9 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -3.6 points; unaffiliated share +3.8 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Gladwin County: 4,953 early ballots; occasional share -8.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -7.6 points; unaffiliated share +4.2 points. Republican relative gain.Kalkaska County: 4,569 early ballots; occasional share -7.7 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -7.3 points; unaffiliated share +5.0 points. Republican relative gain.Ogemaw County: 3,999 early ballots; occasional share -6.9 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.9 points; unaffiliated share +3.5 points. Republican relative gain.Menominee County: 3,816 early ballots; occasional share -9.8 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -9.0 points; unaffiliated share +6.5 points. Republican relative gain.Osceola County: 3,437 early ballots; occasional share -8.7 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.2 points; unaffiliated share +5.0 points. Republican relative gain.Presque Isle County: 3,363 early ballots; occasional share -9.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -8.2 points; unaffiliated share +4.2 points. Republican relative gain.Crawford County: 3,343 early ballots; occasional share -9.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.4 points; unaffiliated share +4.8 points. Republican relative gain.Iron County: 2,671 early ballots; occasional share -6.9 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -11.0 points; unaffiliated share +9.7 points. Republican relative gain.Arenac County: 2,570 early ballots; occasional share -6.9 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.1 points; unaffiliated share +3.3 points. Republican relative gain.Mackinac County: 2,360 early ballots; occasional share -9.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.3 points; unaffiliated share +0.6 points. Republican relative gain.Alcona County: 2,332 early ballots; occasional share -7.7 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -9.0 points; unaffiliated share +5.4 points. Republican relative gain.Missaukee County: 2,310 early ballots; occasional share -9.3 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -0.6 points; unaffiliated share +2.0 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Gogebic County: 2,266 early ballots; occasional share -7.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -7.8 points; unaffiliated share +8.8 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Montmorency County: 2,168 early ballots; occasional share -8.3 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -7.7 points; unaffiliated share +5.0 points. Republican relative gain.Lake County: 2,097 early ballots; occasional share -10.1 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -5.2 points; unaffiliated share +5.6 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Oscoda County: 1,758 early ballots; occasional share -9.5 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.0 points; unaffiliated share +5.3 points. Republican relative gain.Schoolcraft County: 1,664 early ballots; occasional share -6.7 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -7.4 points; unaffiliated share +5.9 points. Republican relative gain.Alger County: 1,625 early ballots; occasional share -8.2 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -2.1 points; unaffiliated share +2.0 points. Republican relative gain.Baraga County: 1,593 early ballots; occasional share -10.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.3 points; unaffiliated share +3.1 points. Republican relative gain.Ontonagon County: 1,281 early ballots; occasional share -6.4 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -9.1 points; unaffiliated share +9.5 points. Unaffiliated-share gain exceeds the party-gap change.Luce County: 814 early ballots; occasional share -9.1 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -6.0 points; unaffiliated share +1.4 points. Republican relative gain.Keweenaw County: 491 early ballots; occasional share -4.7 points; Democratic-minus-Republican gap -4.0 points; unaffiliated share +2.4 points. Republican relative gain.Occasional-share change (points)Left: smaller share · Right: larger share
  • Democratic gain
  • Republican gain
  • Unaffiliated gain exceeds party-gap change

Larger dots mean more early ballots. Grey band: statewide unaffiliated-share gain. Extremes are drawn at the plot edges.

83 counties · 2026-11-01 versus 2022-11-06. Statewide occasional share: 16.1% to 9.9%.

Separate tracker total: 2.31M (2026-11-02); full 2022 early vote: 1.69M. Early ballots were 38% of all 2022 voting. These are context, not the matched-stage comparison.

Source: Carmena’s Overton analysis. Early votes by group via ColdSpark. Separate tracker totals: UF Election Lab, CNN/AP/Catalist and NBC News/TargetSmart. Full-2022 early totals: CNN/AP/Catalist; 2022 turnout: OnPoint. Caveat: Frozen November 3 graphic; Iowa through November 1. These are party groups, not candidate votes. Consistent voters voted in two to four preceding generals; occasional voters in zero or one. County comparisons use November 1, 2026 versus November 6, 2022, except Kansas: November 2 versus November 7. Party is registration in NC, KS and IA, modelled in TX and MI, and last-primary participation in OH. Counties require at least 50 ballots in both years. Plot positions are clamped at ±15 horizontal and ±30 vertical points; downloads retain exact values. The grey band uses the plotted county universe. Separate tracker totals and 2022 full-period totals are context, not the matched-stage denominators.

Data table
Michigan county early voting
County2022 ballots2026 ballots2022 occasional share (%)2026 occasional share (%)Occasional-share change (points)2022 D minus R (points)2026 D minus R (points)Party-gap change (points)Unaffiliated-share change (points)
Wayne County23107736247416.912.1-4.825.022.0-3.04.9
Oakland County23275935046315.89.7-6.25.74.7-1.01.2
Macomb County13014520528715.110.5-4.6-6.4-8.8-2.34.8
Kent County9828915801917.210.0-7.2-3.4-4.4-1.01.8
Washtenaw County7086810876019.615.2-4.424.925.60.73.4
Genesee County583648779715.58.6-6.912.38.8-3.61.0
Ottawa County469977568215.28.8-6.4-25.1-26.4-1.31.8
Ingham County505697146417.911.7-6.219.017.9-1.11.9
Livingston County392986277214.87.2-7.6-21.6-25.9-4.3-0.0
Kalamazoo County424936040416.59.7-6.81.54.02.6-0.1
St. Clair County237563990215.08.2-6.8-19.8-26.2-6.42.4
Monroe County212343486815.38.7-6.6-9.6-16.3-6.63.4
Muskegon County250253365315.48.1-7.29.07.8-1.31.1
Saginaw County266893340813.77.9-5.80.72.51.82.0
Allegan County170573121816.49.1-7.3-20.1-25.1-5.02.3
Jackson County201403055615.98.3-7.6-17.0-19.8-2.81.2
Grand Traverse County203463049416.38.3-8.1-11.2-11.4-0.2-2.0
Berrien County209963011917.210.7-6.5-16.6-14.71.94.7
Eaton County199592613214.37.1-7.2-4.1-2.71.40.4
Calhoun County144582213915.110.0-5.1-9.8-11.8-2.04.9
Lapeer County128032201113.77.6-6.2-24.1-29.4-5.33.4
Bay County175512188413.77.4-6.35.02.4-2.62.0
Clinton County147812120114.97.9-6.9-13.8-14.8-1.01.9
Midland County129551889016.88.6-8.2-14.3-15.7-1.30.5
Lenawee County128521872314.78.7-6.0-16.1-16.8-0.63.4
Marquette County114631674715.99.0-6.913.811.8-2.02.0
Barry County86941484114.97.5-7.4-16.5-21.5-5.03.8
Van Buren County98401347715.98.9-7.1-17.8-16.71.14.2
Shiawassee County95181338714.27.8-6.4-7.5-12.5-5.02.4
Isabella County68831071816.910.8-6.1-6.8-5.71.13.9
Tuscola County61401012814.37.5-6.8-19.9-27.2-7.34.9
Montcalm County7136977715.37.3-8.0-24.7-25.1-0.43.6
Ionia County7196973316.77.4-9.3-14.5-16.0-1.52.3
Emmet County7569952917.68.0-9.6-10.5-11.8-1.3-0.1
St. Joseph County6209918516.210.2-6.0-27.1-29.1-2.06.0
Leelanau County6915901514.66.9-7.8-9.0-8.50.50.2
Cass County5549886116.210.4-5.8-25.2-29.5-4.49.0
Antrim County5111827715.37.8-7.5-15.8-23.1-7.3-1.0
Mecosta County5569786215.18.2-6.8-21.5-21.5-0.02.4
Delta County5415760015.28.2-7.16.1-2.9-9.11.7
Roscommon County5364753414.97.2-7.7-21.3-26.0-4.71.4
Newaygo County5304734517.37.7-9.5-17.3-22.8-5.52.6
Branch County4557706817.112.2-4.9-30.4-30.9-0.56.1
Charlevoix County5498671715.67.2-8.4-11.1-13.8-2.70.6
Hillsdale County4609653617.29.2-8.0-33.5-37.5-3.96.0
Sanilac County5052651516.17.4-8.7-26.2-32.7-6.53.4
Huron County4176651015.87.4-8.4-26.4-34.9-8.43.0
Benzie County4107623614.57.8-6.7-3.9-7.5-3.6-0.6
Mason County4103606317.17.7-9.4-7.6-9.6-2.1-1.7
Clare County3944600917.18.6-8.5-19.0-24.6-5.62.6
Houghton County4228599517.510.2-7.29.82.7-7.02.7
Manistee County4598588815.07.6-7.4-1.4-1.6-0.2-0.2
Chippewa County4373586616.49.2-7.2-4.8-9.6-4.82.3
Otsego County3851580816.28.1-8.0-13.0-19.2-6.21.7
Iosco County4727580714.87.0-7.8-4.0-10.7-6.82.6
Alpena County4563561816.57.7-8.86.31.9-4.43.2
Cheboygan County4444561014.96.9-8.0-11.9-16.1-4.21.2
Dickinson County3457531615.29.4-5.8-5.7-11.6-5.95.5
Gratiot County3784511816.38.8-7.5-17.4-19.5-2.12.0
Wexford County3646506018.09.8-8.2-18.2-18.8-0.71.7
Oceana County3449497315.29.3-5.9-13.7-17.3-3.63.8
Gladwin County3789495314.86.3-8.5-11.2-18.8-7.64.2
Kalkaska County2425456915.88.1-7.7-21.0-28.3-7.35.0
Ogemaw County2569399915.18.2-6.9-8.1-14.0-5.93.5
Menominee County3049381619.19.3-9.86.7-2.2-9.06.5
Osceola County2434343716.37.6-8.7-28.8-34.0-5.25.0
Presque Isle County2253336316.97.5-9.4-3.4-11.5-8.24.2
Crawford County2191334318.59.0-9.5-15.7-21.1-5.44.8
Iron County1652267118.511.6-6.92.8-8.2-11.09.7
Arenac County1807257014.98.0-6.9-8.9-15.0-6.13.3
Mackinac County2004236016.67.1-9.5-9.0-14.3-5.30.6
Alcona County1767233214.97.3-7.7-12.2-21.2-9.05.4
Missaukee County1728231015.56.1-9.3-31.8-32.5-0.62.0
Gogebic County1760226616.69.4-7.27.4-0.3-7.88.8
Montmorency County1565216815.37.1-8.3-14.8-22.4-7.75.0
Lake County1506209718.07.9-10.1-8.8-14.0-5.25.6
Oscoda County1183175817.47.9-9.5-15.6-21.6-6.05.3
Schoolcraft County1064166418.712.0-6.7-5.5-12.9-7.45.9
Alger County1353162516.58.3-8.24.12.0-2.12.0
Baraga County1064159317.67.2-10.4-3.0-9.4-6.33.1
Ontonagon County1036128114.68.2-6.4-4.1-13.1-9.19.5
Luce County68581417.48.2-9.1-20.6-26.5-6.01.4
Keweenaw County43849115.510.8-4.714.410.4-4.02.4

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