Unaffiliated / other: 26.0% in 2022; 29.9% in 2026, a change of +3.9 points.
Source: Carmena’s Overton analysis. Statewide party shares via NBC News/TargetSmart. Caveat: October 31, 2026 versus November 5, 2022. 2022 shares are rounded; party may be modelled. No comparable voting-history split. Shares are not candidate votes.