Arizona · 2nd District · 2026

Crane leads Nez by 1 points

Eli Crane has 50.6% with 95.8% of the expected vote counted, a R+1.2 margin against Arizona’s 2nd District’s R+9.0 vote for House in 2024. AP has not called the race.

Live · Updated 11:35 p.m. ET, Nov. 5 · 95.8% reported

50.6

Eli Crane

157,649 votes

49.4

Jonathan Nez

153,913 votes

Vote share · per NBC95.8% reported

50.6%49.4%

Results per NBC · 04:35 UTC

Margin vs 2024D+7.8 swing

2026 R+1.2

2024 House R+9.0

Chance of winningExternal ↗

Eli Crane 74%

prices, not our forecast · 04:54 UTC

Circle size: votes counted. Colour: the leader, darker for a wider margin; grey until half the vote is in. District tint: the districtwide leader. Point at a circle for its count.

Each place shows the latest report from any source we collect: AP, the networks, DDHQ and state and county election offices, credited row by row. Race calls are AP’s. Counts are unofficial until certified. How we collect and check results.