Carmena’s OvertonSubscribe

Montana · 1st District · 2026

Democrats flip Montana’s 1st District

Sam Forstag won with 50.3%, a D+3.6 margin against Montana’s 1st District’s R+7.7 vote for House in 2024.

Live · Updated · 97.1% reported

50.3
Sam Forstag
132,003 votes
✓ Winner · AP call 12:02 p.m. ET, Nov. 5
46.8
Aaron Flint
122,694 votes
Vote share · per AP97.1% reported
50.3%46.8%

Also: Nick Sheedy 2.9%

Margin vs 2024D+11.3 swing
2026 D+3.6
2024 House R+7.7
Chance of winningExternal ↗
Sam Forstag >99%

prices, not our forecast ·

Circle size: votes counted. Colour: the leader, darker for a wider margin; grey until half the vote is in. District tint: the districtwide leader. Point at a circle for its count.

Each place shows the latest report from any source we collect: AP, the networks, DDHQ and state and county election offices, credited row by row. Race calls are AP’s. Counts are unofficial until certified. How we collect and check results.

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