Tennessee · U.S. Senate · 2026
Tennessee moved 17 points toward the Democrats
Bill Hagerty won re-election with 55.4%, a R+12.2 margin against Tennessee’s R+29.6 vote for Senate in 2024. All 95 counties moved toward the Democrats.
Live · Updated · 99% reported
55.4
Bill Hagerty
1,138,457 votes
✓ Winner · AP call 11:28 p.m. ET, Nov. 3
43.2
Marquita Bradshaw
886,974 votes
Vote share · per NYT99% reported
55.4%43.2%
Also: Jones 0.5% · Chandler 0.4% · Gerena 0.3% · Whitson 0.2% · 4 more
Margin vs 2024D+17.4 swing
2026 R+12.2
2024 Senate R+29.6
Chance of winningExternal ↗
Bill Hagerty >99% · settled Yes
739K contracts traded · prices, not our forecast ·
Every county, by margin
Bars show 2026; dots show the 2024 Senate race. Paler bars: under half the vote counted.
County← More DemocraticMore Republican →20262024
Davidson
D+45.0D+27.7
Shelby
D+37.5D+21.7
Haywood
D+17.2R+2.3
Hamilton
D+2.6R+14.6
Rutherford
D+0.2R+21.0
Montgomery
D+0.1R+19.5
Knox
R+1.9R+18.2
Madison
R+4.6R+22.4
Hardeman
R+9.1R+27.7
Anderson
R+17.6R+33.7
Wilson
R+23.3R+39.1
Lauderdale
R+23.7R+39.5
Williamson
R+23.8R+33.3
Washington
R+23.8R+42.0
Sumner
R+25.0R+41.1
Cheatham
R+27.4R+43.7
Maury
R+30.9R+43.9
Putnam
R+31.5R+45.5
Fayette
R+33.2R+45.4
Blount
R+33.9R+46.6
Robertson
R+34.5R+49.1
Dickson
R+34.8R+49.3
Warren
R+37.0R+52.9
Gibson
R+38.7R+56.0
Coffee
R+38.9R+53.2
Tipton
R+39.1R+53.0
Lake
R+39.6R+56.3
Bedford
R+39.7R+56.3
Marion
R+39.7R+53.3
Hamblen
R+39.9R+56.7
Franklin
R+40.3R+51.6
Roane
R+40.7R+51.7
Sullivan
R+41.0R+56.5
Humphreys
R+41.7R+53.8
Crockett
R+42.2R+59.4
Marshall
R+42.6R+54.7
Bradley
R+42.8R+58.4
Trousdale
R+43.6R+55.8
Loudon
R+44.5R+53.1
Sevier
R+45.1R+59.4
Giles
R+45.1R+54.7
Houston
R+45.5R+54.6
Henry
R+46.0R+55.2
Hickman
R+48.5R+59.9
Carter
R+49.2R+64.4
Weakley
R+49.4R+60.1
DeKalb
R+49.4R+60.1
McMinn
R+49.5R+62.3
Unicoi
R+49.5R+64.4
Overton
R+49.7R+60.8
Jackson
R+50.4R+58.3
Cannon
R+50.5R+62.6
Jefferson
R+50.8R+61.5
Carroll
R+51.1R+63.7
Dyer
R+51.3R+61.3
Lewis
R+52.0R+62.8
Benton
R+52.5R+61.6
Grundy
R+52.8R+65.9
Van Buren
R+52.8R+63.6
Lincoln
R+52.9R+65.2
Rhea
R+53.1R+65.6
Cumberland
R+53.5R+58.4
Greene
R+53.7R+66.5
Chester
R+53.7R+67.6
Obion
R+53.9R+66.2
Stewart
R+54.1R+63.6
Monroe
R+54.2R+64.2
Clay
R+54.3R+65.0
Campbell
R+54.5R+64.9
White
R+54.7R+63.9
Smith
R+54.7R+63.0
Meigs
R+55.2R+64.8
Pickett
R+55.7R+62.2
Polk
R+55.9R+65.2
Sequatchie
R+55.9R+64.7
Cocke
R+56.1R+65.8
Bledsoe
R+56.2R+68.7
Hawkins
R+56.6R+68.9
Lawrence
R+56.9R+66.4
Moore
R+57.3R+67.2
Union
R+57.4R+66.7
Perry
R+57.6R+66.0
Henderson
R+58.0R+69.8
McNairy
R+59.6R+68.0
Decatur
R+59.6R+67.7
Johnson
R+59.7R+71.1
Macon
R+60.4R+71.3
Claiborne
R+60.5R+66.4
Grainger
R+60.8R+70.5
Morgan
R+60.9R+69.6
Hardin
R+63.2R+71.4
Hancock
R+63.6R+73.4
Scott
R+64.0R+75.0
Fentress
R+66.1R+73.0
Wayne
R+68.7R+75.2
Each place shows the latest report from any source we collect: AP, the networks, DDHQ and state and county election offices, credited row by row. Race calls are AP’s. Counts are unofficial until certified. How we collect and check results.