Early voters who cast ballots in all four recent general elections went from R+9.6 to D+2.9. Voters with no recent record are about 3% of the early count.
Open this figure in “Kansas early voters went from R+3 in 2022 to D+5 this year”
Real data · Oct 26, 2026
Early voters who cast ballots in all four recent general elections went from R+9.6 to D+2.9. Voters with no recent record are about 3% of the early count.Voted in all four recent general elections: 2026 D+2.9 · 2022 R+9.6 · 73.8% of this year’s early ballots
- 2026 early voters
- 2022 early voters, same point
Source: Carmena’s Overton; early votes via ColdSpark. Caveat: Groups count how many of the last four general elections each voter cast a ballot in. “None” is not the same as first-time.
Data table
| Voted in previous four generals | 2026 margin | 2022 margin | 2026 share of early ballots | 2022 share of early ballots | 2026 early ballots | 2022 early ballots | 2026 registered Democrats | 2026 registered Republicans | 2026 other | 2022 registered Democrats | 2022 registered Republicans | 2022 other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All four | D+2.9 | R+9.6 | 73.8 | 66.0 | 148811 | 88941 | 67753 | 63447 | 17611 | 36396 | 44909 | 7636 |
| Three of four | D+5.5 | D+3.5 | 12.5 | 15.6 | 25190 | 21000 | 10549 | 9161 | 5480 | 9389 | 8663 | 2948 |
| Two of four | D+13.6 | D+10.8 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 11467 | 9866 | 4826 | 3270 | 3371 | 4620 | 3551 | 1695 |
| One of four | D+17.6 | D+13.2 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 9480 | 9831 | 3919 | 2249 | 3312 | 4520 | 3222 | 2089 |
| None of the last four | D+24.9 | D+15.6 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 6783 | 5131 | 2956 | 1268 | 2559 | 2329 | 1530 | 1272 |
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