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Research: early vote

3 posts on early vote, newest first.

Showing 3 of 15 posts. Post dates other than Oct 23, 2026 are illustrative.

  1. Early vote

    Democrats’ early-vote edge grew from 2 points to 15

    Early voters so far are D 49, R 34, Other 17. At this point in 2024 they were D 42, R 40, Other 18.

    Source: NBC News / TargetSmart national early-vote tracker, Oct 23, 2026, and its 2024 and 2022 editions at the same point. Party is not vote choice, Democrats have voted early in larger numbers since 2020, and TargetSmart models party in 21 states.

  2. Early vote

    One in five of 2022’s voters have already voted

    21.7M early ballots equal 19.7% of 2022’s total turnout. At the same point in 2024 the figure was 22.7%.

    Source: Early ballot counts compiled by the NBC News early-vote tracker, Oct 23, 2026, and its 2024 edition at the same point; total ballots cast in 2022 and 2024. Raw ballots are at 61% of 2024’s pace, but 2024 was a presidential year with higher turnout.

  3. Early vote

    Senate battlegrounds are voting early at 50–98% of their 2024 pace

    None of the ten states is ahead of 2024, a presidential year. Against 2022, the last midterm, nine of the ten are ahead.

    Source: 2026 early-vote counts from state data via UF Election Lab and the NBC News tracker, Oct 23, 2026; 2022 and 2024 counts at the same point from the NBC News tracker; party mix from state registration, state primary records or the NBC News / TargetSmart model, as tagged. Ohio and Texas party figures are from state files of Oct 22 and through Oct 21; Michigan, Minnesota and South Carolina party figures are TargetSmart’s model.