Carmena’s OvertonSubscribe

Texas · Governor · 2026

Democrats flip Texas’ governorship

Gina Hinojosa won with 52.8%, a D+7.1 margin against Texas’ R+13.7 vote for president in 2024. All 250 counties moved toward the Democrats.

Live · Updated · 99% reported

52.8
Gina Hinojosa
5,230,929 votes
✓ Winner · AP call 11:17 p.m. ET, Nov. 3
45.7
Greg Abbott
4,524,955 votes
Vote share · per NPR99% reported
52.8%45.7%

Also: Other 1.5%

Margin vs 2024D+20.8 swing
2026 D+7.1
2024 president R+13.7
Chance of winningExternal ↗
Gina Hinojosa >99% · settled Yes

105.9M contracts traded · prices, not our forecast ·

HarrisDallasBexar
Circle size: votes counted. Colour: the leader, darker for a wider margin; grey until half the vote is in. Point at a circle for its count.

Every place, by margin

Bars show 2026; dots show the 2024 presidential race. Paler bars: under half the vote counted.

Place← More DemocraticMore Republican →20262024
Presidio
D+53.9D+30.2
Travis
D+52.5D+39.3
Starr
D+48.9R+16.0
Zavala
D+46.0
Jim Hogg
D+44.8D+8.3
El Paso
D+42.1D+15.1
Hidalgo
D+42.0R+2.9
Webb
D+39.6R+2.2
Dallas
D+39.3D+22.2
Dimmit
D+35.4D+3.3
Maverick
D+35.1R+18.5
Cameron
D+34.6R+5.8
Brooks
D+34.2D+9.6
Zapata
D+31.6
Bexar
D+31.0D+9.7
Harris
D+28.6D+5.5
Willacy
D+28.4R+3.3
Duval
D+28.2R+9.8
Hays
D+26.9D+5.6
Fort Bend
D+22.6D+1.6
Culberson
D+16.0R+16.9
Tarrant
D+14.2R+5.1
Williamson
D+13.7R+2.4
Caldwell
D+11.4R+14.4
Jim Wells
D+10.0R+15.5
Kleberg
D+9.7R+12.7
Jefferson
D+9.1R+8.9
Brewster
D+8.0R+12.6
Nueces
D+6.8R+11.5
La Salle
D+5.9R+20.5
Bastrop
D+5.4R+18.4
Frio
D+4.9R+24.5
Collin
D+4.5R+11.1
Val Verde
D+3.9R+26.6
Denton
D+2.1R+13.1
Brazoria
D+1.7R+19.7
Brazos
D+0.7R+24.8
Bell
R+0.6R+16.2
Kaufman
R+2.5R+27.9
Reeves
R+3.8R+36.9
Waller
R+5.5R+25.0
Uvalde
R+7.0R+33.4
Ellis
R+8.3R+31.1
Galveston
R+9.7R+27.4
Guadalupe
R+10.0R+29.5
Jeff Davis
R+10.3R+21.3
McLennan
R+14.1R+30.8
Pecos
R+16.2R+44.8
Nacogdoches
R+17.0R+38.8
San Patricio
R+17.1R+36.4
Bee
R+17.5R+39.9
Kenedy
R+17.6R+46.8
Deaf Smith
R+19.2R+51.7
Atascosa
R+19.3R+43.3
Lubbock
R+20.5R+39.5
Hudspeth
R+20.6R+46.6
Walker
R+22.8R+39.9
Ector
R+22.9R+52.9
Potter
R+23.8R+44.4
Gregg
R+24.1R+42.2
Coryell
R+24.9R+40.7
Medina
R+25.4R+42.7
Rockwall
R+26.5R+40.9
Montgomery
R+26.7R+45.5
Victoria
R+27.3R+42.5
Refugio
R+27.9R+39.5
Titus
R+28.0R+54.7
Wichita
R+28.8R+44.0
Smith
R+29.0R+45.1
Liberty
R+30.4R+61.6
Johnson
R+30.7R+51.4
Tom Green
R+30.7R+48.0
Navarro
R+32.2R+51.8
Crosby
R+32.2R+51.3
Matagorda
R+32.4R+50.5
Kinney
R+32.5R+50.5
Falls
R+32.7R+44.7
Hale
R+33.3R+57.9
Comal
R+33.5R+45.5
Crockett
R+33.9R+53.9
Moore
R+34.0R+67.1
Gonzales
R+34.3R+54.8
Angelina
R+34.4R+52.0
Calhoun
R+34.4R+52.2
Taylor
R+34.8R+49.8
Bowie
R+35.7R+48.7
Wharton
R+37.2R+51.8
Camp
R+37.4R+53.6
Hunt
R+37.6R+55.5
Harrison
R+37.7R+50.6
Robertson
R+37.7R+52.1
Bailey
R+38.3R+61.1
Wilson
R+40.2R+53.7
Morris
R+40.3R+51.2
Cochran
R+40.4R+65.7
Reagan
R+40.4R+69.4
Limestone
R+40.5R+56.9
Grayson
R+41.4R+54.2
Midland
R+41.7R+60.5
Yoakum
R+41.7
Karnes
R+41.9R+58.1
Castro
R+43.0R+58.1
Kerr
R+43.2R+54.3
Rusk
R+43.2R+59.4
Burnet
R+43.7R+55.7
Milam
R+43.9R+57.3
San Augustine
R+44.1R+56.3
Floyd
R+44.4R+64.9
Howard
R+44.5R+62.8
Nolan
R+44.5R+59.2
Winkler
R+44.9R+70.5
Washington
R+45.0R+54.7
Dawson
R+45.0R+61.0
Marion
R+45.1R+52.5
Randall
R+45.2R+60.4
Ward
R+45.3R+66.1
Blanco
R+45.7R+52.5
Crane
R+45.7R+72.6
Terry
R+46.2R+65.1
Colorado
R+46.4R+57.2
Lee
R+46.5R+60.4
Parmer
R+46.6R+70.1
Grimes
R+46.7R+60.2
Terrell
R+46.7R+55.1
Lamar
R+47.0R+60.9
Hockley
R+47.1R+66.3
Andrews
R+47.1R+72.6
Wilbarger
R+47.2R+60.6
Lamb
R+47.3R+64.3
Schleicher
R+47.3R+64.4
Cherokee
R+47.4R+62.7
Kendall
R+47.8R+55.6
Aransas
R+47.9R+55.7
Anderson
R+48.0R+61.8
Chambers
R+48.3R+65.6
Red River
R+48.5R+61.7
Swisher
R+48.7R+63.4
Houston
R+48.9R+55.3
Polk
R+49.1R+58.9
Hopkins
R+49.1R+64.6
Austin
R+49.1R+62.7
Goliad
R+49.1R+60.2
Erath
R+49.3R+68.0
Palo Pinto
R+49.4R+67.1
Hill
R+49.5R+64.3
Lampasas
R+49.6R+59.5
Fayette
R+50.0R+61.4
Henderson
R+50.2R+63.5
Shelby
R+50.2R+64.6
Sutton
R+51.0R+67.1
Knox
R+51.3R+68.5
Madison
R+51.6R+64.4
Gillespie
R+52.0R+60.9
Freestone
R+52.4R+66.3
Burleson
R+52.8R+62.8
Dallam
R+52.8R+78.3
San Jacinto
R+53.2R+65.3
Orange
R+53.3R+66.7
Menard
R+53.7R+66.4
Parker
R+54.0R+66.4
Fisher
R+54.3R+63.2
Cooke
R+54.4R+66.8
Ochiltree
R+54.6R+81.5
Wise
R+55.1R+70.0
Fannin
R+55.2R+67.3
Panola
R+55.3R+66.4
Hood
R+55.6R+65.9
Llano
R+55.7R+60.8
Jasper
R+56.0R+66.6
Mason
R+56.1R+65.0
Bandera
R+56.2R+61.8
Upton
R+56.3R+77.0
Trinity
R+56.7R+67.0
Foard
R+56.7R+65.3
Lynn
R+56.8R+70.3
Hemphill
R+56.8R+75.8
De Witt
R+57.0R+67.0
Garza
R+57.0R+72.6
Jackson
R+57.4R+70.8
Bosque
R+57.5R+67.3
Delta
R+58.1R+69.7
Cass
R+58.3R+65.7
Newton
R+58.6R+66.6
Martin
R+58.8R+75.8
Stonewall
R+59.0R+69.0
Upshur
R+59.1R+71.0
Jones
R+59.1R+73.1
Franklin
R+59.6R+68.9
Comanche
R+59.8R+74.0
Somervell
R+60.3R+70.7
Scurry
R+60.6R+73.6
Haskell
R+60.6R+71.4
Hall
R+60.7R+73.4
Live Oak
R+60.8R+69.6
Real
R+60.9R+66.9
Hardeman
R+61.0R+72.7
Edwards
R+61.1R+73.2
Childress
R+61.2R+76.1
Concho
R+61.6R+73.9
McCulloch
R+62.1R+73.4
Gray
R+62.3R+77.1
Kent
R+62.3R+76.4
Dickens
R+62.4R+70.3
Cottle
R+62.5R+72.5
Mitchell
R+62.6R+71.3
Sherman
R+62.8R+88.1
Wood
R+62.9R+69.7
Van Zandt
R+63.3R+74.8
Brown
R+63.4R+73.9
Hamilton
R+63.4R+71.3
Young
R+63.9
Hutchinson
R+64.1R+77.1
Hardin
R+64.2R+75.8
Rains
R+64.4R+72.9
Hansford
R+64.7R+84.8
Eastland
R+64.9R+77.5
Gaines
R+65.2R+82.6
Stephens
R+65.7R+79.3
Tyler
R+66.1R+73.5
Runnels
R+66.3R+77.1
San Saba
R+66.3R+78.8
Sterling
R+66.7R+85.9
Callahan
R+67.2R+77.5
Mills
R+67.7R+76.9
Kimble
R+67.8R+77.6
La Vaca
R+67.9R+76.1
Leon
R+68.0R+76.7
Baylor
R+68.4R+76.8
Jack
R+68.9R+82.3
Collingsworth
R+68.9R+77.5
Irion
R+69.1R+75.6
Loving
R+69.1R+78.4
Montague
R+69.5R+77.6
Coke
R+69.6R+79.6
Briscoe
R+69.8R+79.7
Carson
R+69.9R+81.1
Clay
R+70.2R+79.6
Hartley
R+70.2R+83.3
Lipscomb
R+70.4R+79.6
Throckmorton
R+70.5R+83.3
Donley
R+70.8R+78.2
McMullen
R+70.9R+84.4
Archer
R+71.1R+79.3
Wheeler
R+71.4R+84.6
Sabine
R+71.9R+78.5
Coleman
R+72.2R+79.0
Oldham
R+73.5R+84.3
Shackelford
R+74.7R+82.1
Armstrong
R+77.7R+85.8
Glasscock
R+80.9R+88.2
Motley
R+83.2R+88.8
King
R+86.4R+91.1
Borden
R+87.7R+91.5
Roberts
R+89.2R+92.1

Each place shows the latest report from any source we collect: AP, the networks, DDHQ and state and county election offices, credited row by row. Race calls are AP’s. Counts are unofficial until certified. How we collect and check results.

Shared figure