Texas · U.S. Senate · 2026
Democrats flip Texas’ Senate seat
James Talarico won with 55.1%, a D+12.1 margin against Texas’ R+8.5 vote for Senate in 2024. 249 of 250 counties moved toward the Democrats.
Live · Updated · 99% reported
55.1
James Talarico
5,445,156 votes
✓ Winner · AP call 11:03 p.m. ET, Nov. 3
43.0
Ken Paxton
4,249,763 votes
Vote share · per NYT99% reported
55.1%43.0%
Also: Brown 1.9%
Margin vs 2024D+20.6 swing
2026 D+12.1
2024 Senate R+8.5
Chance of winningExternal ↗
James Talarico >99% · settled Yes
187.3M contracts traded · prices, not our forecast ·
Every place, by margin
Bars show 2026; dots show the 2024 Senate race. Paler bars: under half the vote counted.
Place← More DemocraticMore Republican →20262024
Travis
D+58.5D+43.2
Starr
D+55.8R+2.4
Presidio
D+54.8D+30.8
Zavala
D+50.6
Jim Hogg
D+50.4D+21.8
El Paso
D+47.9D+19.9
Webb
D+47.3D+8.8
Hidalgo
D+46.5D+6.6
Dallas
D+45.6D+28.4
Maverick
D+41.1R+2.9
Zapata
D+40.7
Brooks
D+40.5D+21.9
Dimmit
D+39.1D+16.8
Cameron
D+38.5D+4.3
Duval
D+36.7D+7.6
Bexar
D+35.5D+16.1
Willacy
D+35.0D+9.7
Harris
D+33.0D+11.3
Hays
D+32.1D+10.4
Fort Bend
D+28.6D+7.6
Culberson
D+22.1R+7.2
Williamson
D+20.3D+1.5
Tarrant
D+19.2D+0.2
La Salle
D+16.8R+6.3
Caldwell
D+15.7R+8.9
Jim Wells
D+15.4R+6.8
Kleberg
D+14.9R+4.4
Jefferson
D+13.2R+5.0
Val Verde
D+12.2R+16.0
Collin
D+12.1R+5.2
Brewster
D+11.3R+9.3
Frio
D+11.3R+10.7
Nueces
D+11.2R+5.5
Bastrop
D+10.9R+13.7
Denton
D+8.4R+8.3
Reeves
D+7.7R+27.1
Brazos
D+6.0R+21.0
Brazoria
D+5.4R+14.3
Bell
D+5.1R+11.6
Kaufman
D+1.3R+21.7
Waller
R+1.8R+21.7
Uvalde
R+2.4R+24.5
Ellis
R+4.4R+25.6
Jeff Davis
R+4.8R+19.4
Guadalupe
R+5.8R+23.8
Galveston
R+5.9R+22.6
McLennan
R+8.5R+26.5
Pecos
R+9.1R+38.9
Kenedy
R+11.9R+30.6
San Patricio
R+12.7R+29.8
Nacogdoches
R+13.2R+35.9
Bee
R+13.6R+32.2
Atascosa
R+14.9R+34.3
Deaf Smith
R+15.0R+49.4
Hudspeth
R+15.0R+40.9
Lubbock
R+16.5R+37.0
Ector
R+18.9R+47.6
Potter
R+19.1R+41.3
Walker
R+19.1R+36.2
Coryell
R+19.3R+35.7
Gregg
R+20.1R+39.1
Medina
R+21.8R+37.2
Montgomery
R+22.2R+41.4
Rockwall
R+22.5R+35.7
Victoria
R+23.1R+39.7
Wichita
R+24.2R+41.0
Refugio
R+24.5R+34.5
Smith
R+24.6R+41.9
Titus
R+24.8R+50.9
Tom Green
R+26.9R+42.8
Johnson
R+27.2R+45.4
Crosby
R+27.6R+50.1
Liberty
R+28.1R+56.5
Falls
R+28.5R+41.0
Kinney
R+28.7R+41.8
Navarro
R+29.1R+46.5
Comal
R+29.2R+41.2
Crockett
R+29.3R+49.5
Matagorda
R+29.4R+45.4
Hale
R+29.7R+53.6
Angelina
R+30.4R+48.8
Moore
R+30.6R+61.6
Gonzales
R+31.0R+49.2
Taylor
R+31.1R+45.3
Calhoun
R+31.8R+46.2
Bowie
R+32.1R+46.5
Robertson
R+32.5R+48.9
Hunt
R+33.9R+50.2
Camp
R+34.5R+50.5
Harrison
R+34.7R+49.0
Wharton
R+34.7R+47.6
Bailey
R+34.7R+60.0
Wilson
R+35.6R+47.8
Cochran
R+36.0R+63.3
Limestone
R+36.5R+53.0
Kerr
R+37.3R+50.4
Grayson
R+37.4R+50.6
Midland
R+37.5R+57.0
Morris
R+37.5R+48.3
Yoakum
R+37.8
Karnes
R+38.1R+51.3
Reagan
R+38.4R+65.0
Burnet
R+38.9R+52.2
Terrell
R+38.9R+52.3
Winkler
R+39.2R+66.4
Nolan
R+39.5R+53.3
Milam
R+40.0R+53.3
San Augustine
R+40.2R+54.7
Castro
R+40.2R+56.6
Rusk
R+40.3R+56.5
Howard
R+40.3R+57.7
Crane
R+40.3R+68.7
Floyd
R+41.0R+58.5
Randall
R+41.1R+57.4
Washington
R+41.4R+51.5
Marion
R+41.4R+51.3
Blanco
R+41.7R+49.1
Ward
R+42.1R+59.6
Lee
R+42.5R+57.2
Aransas
R+42.6R+50.4
Kendall
R+43.2R+52.6
Colorado
R+43.3R+53.9
Terry
R+43.3R+61.4
Andrews
R+43.6R+68.7
Cherokee
R+43.8R+59.6
Grimes
R+43.8R+56.7
Lampasas
R+43.8R+56.2
Wilbarger
R+44.4R+56.2
Swisher
R+44.5R+58.4
Dawson
R+44.6R+57.8
Lamb
R+44.7R+62.2
Schleicher
R+44.9R+60.7
Fayette
R+45.1R+58.4
Parmer
R+45.4R+68.1
Anderson
R+45.5R+58.0
Hopkins
R+45.5R+60.6
Lamar
R+45.6R+57.4
Houston
R+45.7R+53.1
Chambers
R+45.9R+60.8
Polk
R+45.9R+55.9
Erath
R+45.9R+63.5
Hockley
R+45.9R+63.9
Henderson
R+46.1R+59.1
Austin
R+46.1R+58.8
Hill
R+46.2R+59.3
Goliad
R+47.0R+54.9
Gillespie
R+47.1R+58.1
Madison
R+47.3R+61.1
Shelby
R+47.4R+63.4
Sutton
R+47.6R+64.1
Burleson
R+48.2R+59.2
Red River
R+48.3R+58.4
Palo Pinto
R+48.4R+62.3
Cooke
R+49.3R+62.4
Llano
R+49.8R+58.9
Orange
R+49.9R+63.3
San Jacinto
R+49.9R+61.2
Knox
R+49.9R+62.1
Menard
R+49.9R+60.8
Dallam
R+50.0R+75.2
Freestone
R+50.6R+62.5
Parker
R+50.9R+61.9
Fisher
R+51.1R+58.6
Jasper
R+51.5R+64.4
Bandera
R+51.5R+57.2
Fannin
R+51.7R+62.2
Mason
R+52.2R+63.3
Wise
R+52.3R+64.8
Hood
R+52.4R+61.7
Bosque
R+52.5R+62.1
Panola
R+52.7R+64.7
Foard
R+53.1R+63.9
Trinity
R+53.3R+62.9
Ochiltree
R+53.6R+79.7
De Witt
R+54.0R+62.6
Jackson
R+54.3R+67.0
Upton
R+54.4R+71.5
Newton
R+54.8R+64.6
Franklin
R+55.1R+66.1
Delta
R+55.2R+64.2
Cass
R+55.6R+63.9
Lynn
R+55.7R+69.3
Upshur
R+56.0R+67.8
Jones
R+56.0R+68.0
Edwards
R+56.0R+66.5
Hemphill
R+56.2R+74.1
Garza
R+56.2R+69.8
Real
R+56.5R+63.5
Somervell
R+57.4R+65.2
Live Oak
R+57.4R+66.0
Gray
R+57.8R+74.6
Comanche
R+57.8R+68.8
Concho
R+58.0R+68.7
Haskell
R+58.2R+65.5
Hardeman
R+58.3R+67.7
Scurry
R+58.4R+68.8
Hamilton
R+58.5R+67.5
Dickens
R+58.7R+68.1
Martin
R+58.9R+72.2
Wood
R+59.0R+67.3
Young
R+59.9
Hutchinson
R+60.2R+74.7
Mitchell
R+60.2R+68.1
Cottle
R+60.4R+70.6
Brown
R+60.8R+70.0
Van Zandt
R+60.9R+70.9
Hall
R+61.0R+70.9
McCulloch
R+61.2R+69.8
Stonewall
R+61.2R+64.7
Loving
R+61.2R+61.1
Hardin
R+61.5R+72.6
Rains
R+61.6R+68.9
Childress
R+61.8R+72.8
Tyler
R+61.9R+70.1
Sherman
R+62.5R+79.9
Runnels
R+63.0R+72.1
Kimble
R+63.3R+73.2
Kent
R+63.3R+72.5
Eastland
R+63.4R+73.5
Gaines
R+63.4R+80.7
Stephens
R+63.9R+74.2
Hansford
R+64.2R+83.6
Callahan
R+64.3R+73.3
San Saba
R+64.3R+73.6
Leon
R+64.7R+73.5
Mills
R+65.5R+73.2
Lavaca
R+65.6R+72.3
Baylor
R+65.7R+73.8
Donley
R+66.4R+75.5
Collingsworth
R+66.6R+76.0
Irion
R+66.6R+70.8
Montague
R+66.7R+73.9
Carson
R+67.0R+77.0
Coke
R+67.2R+74.8
Lipscomb
R+67.5R+77.2
Clay
R+67.9R+75.9
Sterling
R+67.9R+79.6
Hartley
R+68.2R+82.0
Jack
R+68.8R+78.0
Coleman
R+69.1R+75.6
Sabine
R+69.2R+76.8
Archer
R+69.2R+76.7
Throckmorton
R+69.9R+81.0
Briscoe
R+70.1R+76.6
Oldham
R+71.4R+80.2
McMullen
R+72.2R+78.8
Wheeler
R+72.4R+81.4
Shackelford
R+74.0R+78.6
Armstrong
R+75.6R+81.3
Glasscock
R+78.8R+87.7
Motley
R+80.6R+85.8
Borden
R+83.3R+92.2
King
R+84.5R+92.5
Roberts
R+84.8R+91.4
Each place shows the latest report from any source we collect: AP, the networks, DDHQ and state and county election offices, credited row by row. Race calls are AP’s. Counts are unofficial until certified. How we collect and check results.