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Research: polls

1 post on polls, newest first.

Showing 1 of 15 posts. Post dates other than Oct 23, 2026 are illustrative.

  1. Polls

    Democrats lead the generic ballot by 9 points, ahead of 2018’s wave

    The Silver Bulletin average is D+9.0 at 11 days out. At the same point, 2018 stood at D+8.2 and 2022 at R+0.6.

    Source: Silver Bulletin generic ballot average (2026); 538 generic ballot average (2018, 2022); final House popular vote for 2018 (Cook Political Report) and 2022. 2022 polls understated Republicans. The average was R+0.6 at this point and the House vote was R+2.7.